College football bowl projections for Week 10: Cincinnati holds fourth playoff spot (for now)
The first set of College Football Playoff rankings will be unveiled Tuesday, and that will give the first hint as to who the four playoff teams will be.
It’s still five weeks until the selection show, and there is a lot to play out. Sporting News will have bowl projections each week leading up to the final results. This year’s bowl season includes 42 games between FBS teams. The College Football Playoff championship game is Jan. 10 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The semifinals are Dec. 31 at the Capital One Orange Bowl and Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.
Our bowl projection is for how we believe the rest of the season will play out.
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We maintained the same four teams heading into the first set of rankings. Georgia, Oklahoma, Ohio State and Cincinnati are our Playoff picks for now, and that’s based on the belief that the Bulldogs will give the Crimson Tide their second loss in the SEC championship game. Oregon, of course, has to lose a second game to make this happen.
We also have Georgia meeting Ohio State in the CFP championship game for the second straight week. Baylor and Michigan State moved into our New Year’s Day Six. Iowa and Oklahoma State moved out.
SN has projections for all 42 bowl games here, and they will be updated throughout the season:
College football bowl projections for Week 10
| DATE | BOWL | MATCHUP |
| Dec. 17 | Bahamas Bowl | Toledo vs. FAU |
| Dec. 17 | Cure Bowl | Troy vs. East Carolina |
| Dec. 18 | RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl | Nevada vs. Liberty* |
| Dec. 18 | New Mexico Bowl | San Diego State vs. UTEP |
| Dec. 18 | Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl | BYU vs. UTSA |
| Dec. 18 | Lendingtree Bowl | Northern Illinois vs. Coastal Carolina |
| Dec. 18 | Los Angeles Bowl | Fresno State vs. Utah |
| Dec. 18 | R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | South Alabama vs. UAB |
| Dec. 20 | Myrtle Beach Bowl | Appalachian State vs. Western Michigan |
| Dec. 21 | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Miami, Ohio vs. Boise State |
| Dec. 21 | Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl | Ball State vs. Utah State |
| Dec. 22 | Armed Forces Bowl | Army* vs. Marshall |
| Dec. 23 | Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl | Washington State vs. Western Kentucky |
| Dec. 24 | Hawai’i Bowl | Air Force vs. UCF |
| Dec. 25 | Camellia Bowl | Kent State vs. Louisiana |
| Dec. 27 | Quick Lane Bowl | SMU vs. Rutgers |
| Dec. 27 | Military Bowl | Miami* vs. Washington* |
| Dec. 28 | TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl | Houston vs. Arkansas |
| Dec. 28 | First Responder Bowl | Texas Tech vs. Louisville |
| Dec. 28 | AutoZone Liberty Bowl | West Virginia vs. Mississippi State |
| Dec. 28 | Holiday Bowl | USC vs. North Carolina |
| Dec. 28 | Guaranteed Rate Bowl | Syracuse vs. Kansas State |
| Dec. 29 | Fenway Bowl | Memphis vs. Boston College |
| Dec. 29 | Pinstripe Bowl | Maryland vs. N.C. State |
| Dec. 29 | Cheez-It Bowl | Iowa State vs. Virginia |
| Dec. 29 | Valero Alamo Bowl | Arizona State vs. Oklahoma State |
| Dec. 30 | Duke’s Mayo Bowl | Purdue vs. Clemson |
| Dec. 30 | Transperfect Music City Bowl | Iowa vs. Tennessee |
| Dec. 30 | SRS Las Vegas Bowl | UCLA vs. Wisconsin |
| Dec. 31 | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl | Florida vs. Pitt |
| Dec. 31 | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl | Oregon State vs. Virginia Tech |
| Dec. 31 | Arizona Bowl | Central Michigan vs. San Jose State |
| Jan. 1 | Outback Bowl | Penn State vs. Ole Miss |
| Jan. 1 | Vrbo Citrus Bowl | Minnesota vs. Auburn |
| Jan. 4 | Texas Bowl | Texas vs. Kentucky |
*Denotes not tied to bowl game
College Football New Year’s Six projections
| Dec. 30 | Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl | Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest |
| Jan. 1 | PlayStation Fiesta Bowl | Texas A&M vs. Michigan |
| Jan. 1 | Rose Bowl Game | Oregon vs. Michigan State |
| Jan. 1 | Allstate Sugar Bowl | Baylor vs. Alabama |
| Dec. 31 | Capital One Orange Bowl (semifinal) | Cincinnati vs. Georgia |
| Dec. 31 | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic (semifinal) | Oklahoma vs. Ohio State |
College Football Playoff championship projection
| DATE | BOWL | MATCHUP |
| Jan. 10 | College Football Playoff championship | Georgia vs. Ohio State |
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