Joe Burrow has beaten the Chiefs three times in a row and is aiming to make it four and lead the Bengals back to the Super Bowl.
(Adrian Kraus / Associated Press)
When: Sunday, 3:30 p.m., Channel 2. Line: Bengals by 1½.
How Bengals can win: Everything runs through Joe Burrow, but sticking with the ground game and Joe Mixon helps. If that patchwork offensive line plays as well as it did at Buffalo, the Bengals will be fine. Defensively, take advantage of the limited mobility of Patrick Mahomes, and that means getting big games from defensive ends Sam Hubbard and Trey Hendrickson. Mahomes is good from the pocket but not nearly as he is with those off-schedule throws. Bengals can be a little weak in the secondary at times, but their linebacker play and defensive line are so good, that makes up for it.
How Chiefs can win: Mahomes has to be able to move around a little bit, if only to buy an extra half-second in the pocket. Kadarius Toney could be a key because he can turn small plays into explosive ones. Defensively, the Chiefs need to get after Burrow and hit him. Whether that’s Steve Spagnuolo drawing up a bunch of blitzes, Chris Jones having a big day, whatever, they have to rattle Burrow. Stop the run, and the Chiefs aren’t great at that. Latch on to that energy in the building, which the Chiefs will do, because Arrowhead Stadium is a really tough place for visiting teams.
Pick: The Bengals beat Kansas City three times in the 2022 calendar year, so they aren’t intimidated. And with Mahomes hopping around on a high-ankle sprain that makes it really tough for the Chiefs. Kansas City is going to fight and hang in there, and they’re too well coached to get trampled, but Cincinnati has the momentum here. BENGALS 27, CHIEFS 21
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