The 2021-22 NHL season is just around the corner and, while the awards won’t be handed out for a handful of months, the debate is already raging regarding who will take home the hardware.
Last year saw a few expected names in Connor McDavid (Hart Trophy), Auston Matthews (Rocket Richard Trophy) and Aleksander Barkov (Selke Trophy). There were a bunch of surprises, such as Marc-Andre Fleury winning his first Vezina (then getting traded) and sophomore defenseman Adam Fox winning the Norris. A couple of winners went wire to wire, including Kirill Kaprizov’s Calder Trophy twirl.
What the upcoming season will bring is anyone’s guess, but expect those names mentioned above — and a couple more — are in the conversations. Sporting News breaks down the talk heading into the new season with predictions, odds and the best bets for the Hart Trophy. The award is given to the league’s most valuable player and voted on by the members of the Professional Hockey Writers Association.
ODDS, PREDICTIONS: Stanley Cup | Calder | Vezina | Norris
Hart Trophy best bets
As mentioned below, this is McDavid’s trophy to lose — but there are a bunch of other guys who could snatch it away, including our dark horse prediction, Auston Matthews. Other guys who could break through include three-time finalist (including the last two cycles) Nathan MacKinnon, 2020 winner and McDavid teammate Leon Draisaitl and 2019 winner Nikita Kucherov, who missed all of last season with a hip injury (yes, we all know, he played in the postseason). There’s also Alex Ovechkin as he hunts for Wayne Gretzky’s record, Conn Smyth winner Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes and American sniper Patrick Kane.
TOP 10 2021-22: Goaltenders
SN’s Hart Trophy dark horse prediction: Auston Matthews
Can you call a guy who won the 2021 Rocket Richard Trophy a dark horse? Debatable. But when you have McDavid hitting the ice, really anyone else is a dark horse. The American forward continues to get better and better. After scoring 47 goals in 70 games in 2019-20, he potted 41 in 52 last season. Translation: He almost scored a goal per game (0.79, to be exact). Oh, and he had a bad wrist for pretty much the entire season. The Leafs will rely heavily on Matthews’ offensive punch in 2021-22, and he’s expected to deliver; that said, most Leafs fans will be focused on one thing — the postseason.
SN’s Hart Trophy prediction: Connor McDavid
It’s Connor McDavid’s world, and we’re just living in it. At just 24 years old, he won his third career Art Ross Trophy (105 points in 56 games) and second career Hart Trophy — this one, as expected, unanimously — in 2021. McDavid is a dynamic force who creates offense at a moment’s notice. His speed is in another world and is powered by his stride and quick feet. How the Oilers go is how McDavid goes. According to Hockey Reference, he led the NHL in goals created per game (0.66), offensive point share (10.7) and point share (13.0) in 2021. There’s no stopping McDavid.
MORE: Top 25 under 25 in 2021-22
2021-22 Hart Trophy winner odds
Odds courtesy of DraftKings.
| Player | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | Edmonton Oilers | +200 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | Colorado Avalanche | +650 |
| Auston Matthews | Toronto Maple Leafs | +950 |
| Nikita Kucherov | Tampa Bay Lightning | +1200 |
| David Pastrnak | Boston Bruins | +1600 |
| Leon Draisaitl | Edmonton Oilers | +1600 |
| Artemi Panarin | New York Rangers | +1600 |
| Sebastian Aho | Carolina Hurricanes | +1900 |
| Mikko Rantanen | Colorado Avalanche | +1900 |
| Brayden Point | Tampa Bay Lightning | +1900 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | Tampa Bay Lightning | +2200 |
| Field | All other players not listed | +2200 |
| Brad Marchand | Boston Bruins | +2500 |
| Mathew Barzal | New York Islanders | +2500 |
| Mitchell Marner | Toronto Maple Leafs | +2500 |
| Aleksander Barkov | Florida Panthers | +2500 |
| Mark Stone | Vegas Golden Knights | +2500 |
| Patrick Kane | Chicago Blackhawks | +3000 |
| Cale Makar | Colorado Avalanche | +3000 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | Florida Panthers | +3500 |
| Max Pacioretty | Vegas Golden Knights | +3500 |
| Sidney Crosby | Pittsburgh Penguins | +3500 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | Minnesota Wild | +3500 |
| Alex Ovechkin | Washington Capitals | +3500 |
| Kyle Connor | Winnipeg Jets | +3500 |
| Marc-Andre Fleury | Chicago Blackhawks | +4000 |
| Philipp Grubauer | Seattle Kraken | +4000 |
| Mark Scheifele | Winnipeg Jets | +4000 |
| Patrice Bergeron | Boston Bruins | +4000 |
| Elias Pettersson | Vancouver Canucks | +4000 |
| Sean Couturier | Philadelphia Flyers | +4000 |
| Mika Zibanejad | New York Rangers | +4000 |
| Jake Guentzel | Pittsburgh Penguins | +4000 |
| Quinn Hughes | Vancouver Canucks | +4000 |
| Anze Kopitar | Los Angeles Kings | +4000 |
| John Tavares | Toronto Maple Leafs | +4000 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | Winnipeg Jets | +4000 |
| Ryan O’Reilly | St. Louis Blues | +4000 |
| Connor Hellebuyck | Winnipeg Jets | +4000 |
| Semyon Varlamov | New York Islanders | +4000 |
| Adam Fox | New York Rangers | +4000 |
| Petr Mrazek | Toronto Maple Leafs | +4000 |
| Carey Price | Montreal Canadiens | +5000 |
| Dougie Hamilton | New Jersey Devils | +5000 |
| Victor Hedman | Tampa Bay Lightning | +5000 |
| Brock Boeser | Vancouver Canucks | +5000 |
| Jack Eichel | Buffalo Sabres | +5000 |
| Thatcher Demko | Vancouver Canucks | +5000 |
| Robin Lehner | Vegas Golden Knights | +5000 |
| Igor Shesterkin | New York Rangers | +5000 |
| Jordan Binnington | St. Louis Blues | +5000 |
| William Nylander | Toronto Maple Leafs | +5000 |
| Jason Robertson | Dallas Stars | +5000 |
| Steven Stamkos | Tampa Bay Lightning | +5000 |
| Alex Debrincat | Chicago Blackhawks | +5000 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | Colorado Avalanche | +5000 |
| Brendan Gallagher | Montreal Canadiens | +5000 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | Carolina Hurricanes | +5000 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | Carolina Hurricanes | +5000 |
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